Table 4 Discrimination and model overall performance in derivation and validation cohorts
Models | Derivation cohort | Temporal validation cohort | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Model | AUROC (95% CI) | Brier score | AUROC (95% CI) | Brier score |
GAM | 0.938 (0.926–0.947) | 0.053 | 0.917 (0.893–0.937) | 0.057 |
LASSO | 0.929 (0.918–0.938) | 0.057 | 0.929 (0.914–0.943) | 0.055 |
MMCD score | 0.929 (0.918–0.939) | 0.057 | 0.927 (0.911–0.941) | 0.056 |