Skip to main content

Table 3 Results from Joinpoint regressions for invasive and in situ breast cancer among non-Hispanic white women aged 50 to 74 years by county rural/urban and poverty status, 1997 to 2004 (NAACCR, CINA Deluxe).

From: Recent trends in breast cancer incidence in US white women by county-level urban/rural and poverty status

 

Trend time period

Quarterly % change

95% CI

Invasive

   

Overall

Q1 1997 to Q2 1998

+1.2

+0.04 to +2.4

 

Q2 1998 to Q2 2002

-0.2

-0.4 to +0.1

 

Q2 2002 to Q1 2003

-3.6

-8.5 to +1.6

 

Q1 2003 to Q4 2004

-0.4

-1.1 to +0.4

   Rural/urban status

   

Urban

Q1 1997 to Q2 1998

+1.2

+0.04 to +2.4

 

Q2 1998 to Q2 2002

-0.2

-0.2 to +0.1

 

Q2 2002 to Q1 2003

-3.9%

-9.1 to +1.6

 

Q1 2003 to Q4 2004

-0.4

-1.1 to +0.4

Suburban

Q1 1997 to Q1 2000

+0.6

-0.02 to +1.2

 

Q1 2000 to Q4 2004

-0.8

-1.1 to -0.5

Rural

Q1 1997 to Q4 1999

+0.7

-0.1 to +1.5

 

Q1 1999 to Q4 2004

-0.8

-1.1 to -0.5

   County Poverty Level

   

Low-poverty counties (<10% below FPL)

Q1 1997 to Q2 1998

+1.5

-0.2 to +3.2

 

Q2 1998 to Q1 2003

-0.3

-0.6 to +0.1

 

Q2 2002 to Q1 2003

-3.6

-10.2 to +3.3

 

Q1 2003 to Q4 2004

-0.3

-1.2 to +0.8

Middle-poverty counties (10 to 19.9% below FPL)

Q1 1997 to Q1 1999

+0.6

+0.1 to +1.2

 

Q1 1999 to Q2 2002

-0.2

-0.5 to +0.1

 

Q2 2002 to Q1 2003

-3.8

-8.8 to +1.5

 

Q1 2003 to Q4 2004

-0.4

-1.1 to +0.3

High-poverty counties (20+% below FPL)

Q1 1997 to Q2 1998

+1.5

-0.7 to +3.7

 

Q2 1998 to Q4 2004

-0.7

-0.9 to -0.5

In situ

   

   Overall

Q1 1997 to Q2 1999

+2.5

+1.8 to +3.1

 

Q2 1999 to Q4 2001

+0.4

-0.2 to +1.1

 

Q4 2001 to Q4 2004

-0.6

-1.0 to -0.2

   Rural/urban status

   

Urban

Q1 1997 to Q2 1999

+2.3

+1.5 to +3.1

 

Q2 1999 to Q4 2001

+0.4

-0.2 to +1.1

 

Q4 2001 to Q4 2004

-0.7

1.1 to -0.3

Suburban

Q1 1997 to Q3 1999

+3.6

+2.0 to +5.2

 

Q3 1999 to Q4 2004

-0.01

-0.4 to +0.4

Rural

Q1 1997 to Q2 2000

+2.8

+1.0 to +4.6

 

Q2 2000 to Q4 2004

-0.1

-1.0 to +0.8

   County poverty level

   

Low-poverty counties (<10% below FPL)

Q1 1997 to Q2 1998

+3.2

+2.0% to +4.5

 

Q2 1998 to Q1 2002

+0.4

-0.04 to +0.8

 

Q1 2002 to Q1 2004

-1.0

-1.9 to -0.2

 

Q1 2004 to Q4 2004

+5.0

-2.5 to +13.2

Middle-poverty counties (10 to 19.9% below FPL)

Q1 1997 to Q1 2000

+2.1

+1.6 to +2.7

 

Q1 2000 to Q4 2004

-0.0.3

-0.6 to -0.3

High-poverty counties (20+% below FPL)

Q1 1997 to Q4 1998

+4.9

+0.9 to +9.1

 

Q4 1998 to Q4 2004

-0.04

-0.6 to +0.5

  1. CI = confidence interval; FPL = federal poverty level; Q = quarter