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Table 5 Efficiency improvement scenarios and potential increase in ART visits in Kenya, Uganda, and Zambia

From: The potential to expand antiretroviral therapy by improving health facility efficiency: evidence from Kenya, Uganda, and Zambia

Efficiency score improvement threshold Kenya Uganda Zambia
Potential percent increase in ART visits (95 % UI) Potential additional ART visits (95 % UI) Potential percent increase in ART visits (95 % UI) Potential additional ART visits (95 % UI) Potential percent increase in ART visits (95 % UI) Potential additional ART visits (95 % UI)
10 % 0 (0–0.005) 0 (0–243) 0 (0–0) 0 (0–0) 0 (0–0.07) 0 (0–3730)
20 % 0.02 (0.005–0.1) 1080 (222–4620) 0.03 (0–0.06) 664 (0–1270) 0.2 (0.01–2) 11,100 (710–106,000)
30 % 0.3 (0.04–1) 1270 (1830–44,100) 2 (0–4) 38,800 (0–78,300) 2 (0.2–7) 117,000 (7130–333,000)
40 % 1 (0.2–4) 50,800 (8490–168,000) 5 (0.01–12) 104,000 (253–245,000) 5 (0.5–13) 267,000 (22,400–633,000)
50 % 3 (1–9) 142,000 (45,400–405,000) 12 (1–23) 241,000 (20,500–489,000) 9 (2–21) 456,000 (76,500–1,070,000)
60 % 9 (4–18) 432,000 (186,000–843,000) 27 (4–39) 557,000 (85,000–815,000) 14 (5–33) 718,000 (234,000–1,690,000)
70 % 20 (10–32) 924,000 (463,000–1,490,000) 43 (10–57) 903,000 (218,000–1,220,000) 21 (10–48) 1,140,000 (503,000–2,470,000)
80 % 33 (19–48) 1,560,000 (871,000–2,250,000) 62 (21–78) 1,280,000 (444,000–1,630,000) 33 (18–65) 1,770,000 (884,000–3,440,000)
90 % 50 (31–66) 2,330,000 (1,460,000–3,110,000) 81 (34–99) 1,690,000 (720,000–2,090,000) 49 (29–84) 2,590,000 (1,420,000–4,430,000)
100 % 67 (45–85) 3,120,000 (2,120,000–3,970,000) 101 (49–120) 2,110,000 (1,030,000–2,550,000) 65 (42–103) 3,460,000 (2,100,000–5,440,000)
  1. Each efficiency improvement scenario reflects the potential percent increase in ART visits and additional ART visits that health facilities could produce, given observed resources, if all health facilities with efficiency scores below a given efficiency threshold improved their efficiency score to that threshold. ART, antiretroviral therapy. UI, uncertainty interval