Fig. 1

Estimated number of people requiring palliative care from 2006 to 2040. Projections of overall population palliative care need according to International Classification of Disease-10 estimates. Solid lines indicate estimates based on actual mortality data. Dotted lines indicate projection models. Note: projection method 1 is not presented in this figure, since it produces very similar results to projection method 2 (assuming proportion of palliative care needs constant). See also Table 3