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Table 2 England and Wales population forecasts and projected number of deaths, 2014–2040 [7]

From: How many people will need palliative care in 2040? Past trends, future projections and implications for services

  Population (‘000 s) Deaths
2014 2020 2030 2040 2014 2020 2030 2040
All 57,409 60,011 63,763 66,852 501,424 499,868 546,768 628,659
0–44 32,707 33,498 34,662 35,231 18,703 17,229 15,335 13,496
45–64 14,550 15,228 15,127 15,441 60,482 59,229 52,641 44,589
65–74 5501 5972 6831 7168 82,418 83,373 77,863 77,056
75–84 3297 3744 4863 5744 145,366 141,247 160,314 159,091
85 + 1354 1569 2280 3268 194,455 198,790 240,603 334,427
% aged ≥ 65 17.7 18.8 21.9 24.2 84.2 84.7 87.6 90.8
% aged ≥ 85 2.4 2.6 3.6 4.8 38.8 39.8 44.0 53.2