Skip to main content

Table 1 Posterior medians and 95% credible intervals of covariates selected for final risk model

From: Spatial model for risk prediction and sub-national prioritization to aid poliovirus eradication in Pakistan

  Bernoulli Truncated Poisson
Indicator Odds ratio 95% CI Relative rate 95% CI
Season (reference Jan–June) 3.13 (2.44–4.03) 2.52 (1.69–3.82)
Type 1 immunity (10% difference) 0.89 (0.81–0.99)   
Under immunization (10% difference) 1.12 (1.01–1.24) 1.28 (1.09–1.50)
Zero RI doses (10% difference)    1.24 (1.11–1.38)
Sqrt. recent cases 1.78 (1.44–2.19) 1.08 (0.90–1.30)
Sqrt. recent neighbor cases 1.18 (1.05–1.32) 1.31 (1.15–1.50)
  1. Odds ratios are reported for the Bernoulli portion of the model and relative rates for the truncated Poisson