| Survivors | Non-survivors | Total | Unadjusted OR of death (95% CI) | p valuea |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number, N (%)b | 2699 (90) | 309 (10) | 3008 | – | – |
General | |||||
 Female | 1240/2699 (46) | 147/309 (5) | 1387/3008 (46) | 1.07 (0.84, 1.35) | 0.59 |
 Age (months); median (IQR)c | 24 (14, 39) | 23 (11, 38) | 24 (13, 38.5) | – | 0.77d |
 Age < 12 months | 494/2699 (16) | 83/309 (3) | 577/3008 (19) | 1.64 (1.25, 2.15) | < 0.001 |
 Middle-arm circumference ≤ 11.5 cm | 56/2644 (1.95) | 13/199 (0.5) | 69/2843 (2.4) | 3.23 (1.73, 6) | < 0.001 |
 Axillary temperature > 39 °C | 658/2694 (22) | 45/309 (1) | 703/3003 (23) | 0.62 (0.44, 0.86) | < 0.01 |
 Hypothermia (temperature < 36 °C) | 133/2694 (4) | 53/309 (2) | 186/3003 (6) | 3.99 (2.82, 5.64) | < 0.001 |
Respiratory | |||||
 Respiratory rate; median (IQR)c | 57 (48, 67) | 60 (50, 70) | 57 (48, 67) | – | 0.03d |
 Respiratory distress | 2183/2688 (73) | 280/308 (9) | 2463/2996 (82) | 2.31 (1.55, 3.46) | < 0.001 |
 Deep breathing | 1674/2697 (56) | 261/308 (8) | 1935/3005 (64) | 2.47 (1.95, 3.14) | < 0.001 |
 Hypoxaemia (oxygen saturation ≤ 90%) | 521/2626 (18) | 113/271 (4) | 634/2897 (22) | 2.89 (2.22, 3.76) | < 0.001 |
 Crackles on auscultation | 543/2697 (18) | 112 /308 (4) | 655/3005 (22) | 2.27 (1.76, 2.92) | < 0.001 |
Cardiovascular | |||||
 Severe tachycardiae | 1955 /2697(73) | 165/308 (54) | 2120/3005 (71) | 0.44 (0.34, 0.56) | < 0.001 |
 Bradycardia | 15/2698 (0.6) | 2/3071 (7) | 36/3005 (1.2) | 13.13 (6.62, 26) | < 0.001 |
 Capillary refill time: | |||||
  < 2 s | 921/2696 (34) | 53/308 (17) | 974/3004 (32) | 1.00 (Ref.)f |  |
  2–3 s | 1130/2696 (42) | 109/308 (35) | 1239/3004 (41) | 2.50 (1.83, 3.40) | < 0.001 |
  ≥ 3 s | 645/2696 (24) | 146/308 (47) | 791/3004 (26) | 2.87 (2.25, 3.66) | < 0.001 |
 Lower limb temperature gradientg | 1544/2699 (57) | 233/309 (75) | 1777/3008 (59) | 2.29 (1.75, 3.01) | < 0.001 |
 Weak radial pulse | 486/2699 (18) | 149/309 (48) | 635/3008 (21) | 4.24 (3.30, 5.45) | < 0.001 |
 Moderate hypotensionh | 162/2664 (6) | 40/289 (14) | 202/2953 (7) | 2.48 (1.71, 3.60) | < 0.001 |
 Dehydration (sunken eyes or reduced skin turgor) | 178/2697 (7) | 51/307 (17) | 229/3004 (8) | 2.82 (2.01, 3.96) | < 0.001 |
Neurological | |||||
 Level of consciousness: | |||||
  Alert | 657 /2696(24) | 22/309 (7) | 679/3005 (23) | 1.00 (Ref.)f |  |
  Prostratei | 1714/2696 (64) | 171/309 (55) | 1885/3005 (63) | 2.98 (1.89, 4.69) | < 0.001 |
  Comaj | 325/2696 (12) | 116/309 (38) | 441/3005 (15) | 10.66 (6.63, 17.14) | < 0.001 |
 Convulsions in this illness | 301/2698 (11) | 48/309 (16) | 349/3007 (12) | 1.40 (1.00, 1.95) | 0.05 |
Clinical anaemia | |||||
 Severe pallork | 969/2694 (36) | 170 /309(55) | 1139/3003 (38) | 2.18 (1.71, 2.77) | < 0.001 |
 Haemoglobinuria (history of dark urine) | 339/2694 (1.4) | 40/307 (13) | 379/3001 (13) | 1.21 (0.95, 1.54) | 0.13 |
 Jaundice | 833/2695 (31) | 133/309 (43) | 966/3004 (32) | 1.65 (1.30, 2.10) | < 0.001 |
Laboratory tests | |||||
 Lactate (mmol/L); median (IQR)c | 3.4 (2.2, 6.9) | 10.9 (5.2, 13.6) | 3.8 (2.3, 8) | – | < 0.001d |
 Hyperlactataemia (lactate, mmol/L) | |||||
  No (< 2.5) | 856/2699 (32) | 25/309 (8) | 881/3008 (29) | 1.00 (Ref.)f |  |
  Moderate (2.5–5) | 902/2699 (33) | 46/309 (15) | 948/3008 (32) | 1.75 (1.06, 2.87) | 0.03 |
  Severe (≥ 5) | 941/2699 (35) | 238/309 (77) | 1179/3008 (39) | 8.66 (5.6, 13.4) | < 0.001 |
 Severe acidaemia: | |||||
  pH < 7.2 | 138/1816 (8) | 70/208 (34) | 208/2024 (10) | 6.17 (4.35, 8.74) | < 0.001 |
  Base deficit > −8 mmol/L | 869/1809 (48) | 170/203 (84) | 1039/2012 (58) | 5.57 (3.76, 8.26) | < 0.001 |
  Bicarbonate < 15 mmol/L | 588/1808 (3) | 151/206 (73) | 739/2014(37) | 5.69 (4.07, 7.97) | < 0.001 |
 Haemoglobin (g/dL): |  |  | 2930 |  |  |
  ≥ 10 | 648/2628 (25) | 42/302 (14) | 690/2930 (24) | 1.00 (Ref.)f |  |
  7 to < 10 | 720/2628 (27) | 80/302 (27) | 800/2930 (27) | 1.71 (1.16, 2.53) | < 0.01 |
  5 to < 7 | 437/2628 (17) | 45/302 (15) | 482/2930 (16) | 1.59 (1.02, 2.46) | 0.04 |
  < 5 | 823 /2628(31) | 135/302 (45) | 958/2930 (33) | 2.53 (1.76, 3.64) | < 0.001 |
 Glucose (mmol/L); median (IQR)c | 6.9 (5.5, 8.70) | 5.95 (3.6, 9.1) | 6.9 (5.4, 8.7) | – | < 0.001d |
 Hypoglycaemia (glucose < 2.5 mmol/L) | 82/2615 (3) | 48 /300(16) | 130/915 (4) | 5.88 (4.00, 8.66) | < 0.001 |
 Blood urea nitrogen (BUN) ≥ 7.14 mmol/L | 337/1819 (19) | 90/205 (44) | 427/2024 (21) | 3.44 (2.54, 4.67) | < 0.001 |
 Hyperkalaemia (≥ 6 mmol/L) | 50/1768 (3) | 37 /197(19) | 87/1965 (4) | 7.90 (4.98, 12.7) | < 0.001 |
Microbiology | |||||
 Malaria parasitaemia, positivel | 1571/2695 (58) | 148/307 (48) | 1719/3002 (57) | 0.67 (0.53, 0.84) | < 0.001 |
 HIV antibody, positive | 86/2197 (4) | 20/220 (9) | 106/2417(4) | 2.46 (1.48, 4.08) | < 0.001 |
 Blood culture, positive | 106/947 (11) | 17/105 (16) | 123 /1052 (12) | 1.53 (0.88, 2.68) | 0.13 |