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Table 2 Estimated mean costs and health outcomes averted by RSV interventions (in thousands)

From: Health and economic burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease and the cost-effectiveness of potential interventions against RSV among children under 5 years in 72 Gavi-eligible countries

RSV-associated (‘000) mean [95% credible interval]

No intervention

mAb (6 months protection)

Maternal vaccine (5 months protection)

Under 1 year

1–4 years

Under 1 year

Under 1 year

RSV cases (non-hospital + hospital cases)

7649 [5366–10,138]

13,192 [10,691–15,486]

5928 [4363–7503]

6464 [4712–8231]

Hospital admissions

668 [142–1853]

1150 [258–3139]

517 [112–1421]

564 [122–1555]

Deaths

18 [3–55]

22 [4–68]

13 [2–40]

15 [3–44]

Discounted YLDs

16 [10–24]

26 [19–36]

12 [8–18]

13 [9–19]

Discounted YLLs

517 [89–1561]

593 [103–1832]

383 [68–1139]

421 [74–1257]

Discounted DALYs

532 [102–1581]

619 [124–1865]

395 [77–1155]

434 [85–1276]

Intervention costs (including delivery)

NA

NA

430,531 [430,531–430,531]

220,775 [220,775–220,775]

Discounted outpatient costs

157,114 [69,436–341,707]

256,189 [121,141–545,592]

122,214 [55,209–264,714]

133,078 [59,878–288,301]

Discounted hospital costs

75,254 [15,043–213,053]

122,362 [25,518–343,347]

58,975 [12,080–166,009]

64,033 [13,123–179,855]

Discounted total costs

232,368 [112,538–443,860]

378,551 [194,696–696,863]

611,720 [521,121–770,475]

417,885 [319,308–592,027]

Burden averted

 RSV cases averted

NA

NA

1721 [979–2659]

1186 [641–1924]

 Hospital admissions averted

NA

NA

151 [29–443]

104 [19–309]

 Deaths averted

NA

NA

5 [1–15]

3 [1–11]

 Discounted DALYs averted

NA

NA

137 [23–423]

98 [16–308]

 Net discounted costs

NA

NA

379,352 [322,875–408,824]

185,517 [144,452–206,446]

  1. Estimated mean [95% credible interval] of undiscounted number (in thousands) of RSV cases, hospital admissions, and deaths and discounted costs and health outcomes (in thousands) pre- and post-RSV interventions summed over 72 Gavi countries in 2022