|  | Pre- and post-infection vaccine | Post-infection vaccine | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance status | Outcome | 2030 | 2050 | 2030 | 2050 |
RR/MDR-TB | % Incidence rate reduction in year | 42% (37–45) | 72% (65–77) | 27% (20–34) | 47% (37–58) |
% Mortality rate reduction in year | 20% (15–24) | 69% (60–75) | 13% (8–19) | 45% (33–55) | |
Cumulative cases averted, millions | 0.2 (0.1–0.3) | 2.0 (1.4–4.1) | 0.1 (0.1–0.2) | 1.3 (0.9–2.6) | |
Cumulative deaths averted, millions | 0.015 (0.008–0.02) | 0.4 (0.3–0.7) | 0.009 (0.004–0.015) | 0.3 (0.2–0.4) | |
All TB | % Incidence rate reduction in year | 47% (41–51) | 67% (59–71) | 34% (28–39) | 44% (39–49) |
% Mortality rate reduction in year | 36% (28–41) | 66% (59–71) | 25% (18–31) | 44% (38–49) | |
Cumulative cases averted, millions | 6.1 (5.0–7.0) | 57.1 (45.9–70.0) | 4.3 (3.3–5.2) | 39.6 (31.4–48.2) | |
Cumulative deaths averted, millions | 0.4 (0.3–0.5) | 5.9 (4.7–7.9) | 0.3 (0.2–0.3) | 4.1 (3.0–5.3) |