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Table 3 Number of asymptomatic COVID-19 infections per million population not detected under varied prevalence of asymptomatic infection and testing levels

From: Exit strategies: optimising feasible surveillance for detection, elimination, and ongoing prevention of COVID-19 community transmission

Prevalence of asymptomatic COVID-19 infection

Number of tests conducted

Upper 95% confidence limit of prevalence estimate for COVID-19 in asymptomatic population

Number of cases in screened population

Number of COVID-19 asymptomatic infections missed by screening

% of asymptomatic COVID-19 infections in populations that are missed during screening

0.79%

10,000

0.98%

7900

7821

99.0%

0.48%

10,000

0.64%

4800

4752

99.0%

0.24%

10,000

0.36%

2400

2376

99.0%

0.16%

10,000

0.26%

1600

1584

99.0%

0.10%

10,000

0.18%

1000

990

99.0%

0.79%

15,000

0.95%

7900

7782

98.5%

0.48%

15,000

0.60%

4800

4728

98.5%

0.24%

15,000

0.33%

2400

2364

98.5%

0.16%

15,000

0.24%

1600

1576

98.5%

0.10%

15,000

0.16%

1000

985

98.5%

0.79%

20,000

0.92%

7900

7742

98.0%

0.48%

20,000

0.59%

4800

4704

98.0%

0.24%

20,000

0.32%

2400

2352

98.0%

0.16%

20,000

0.23%

1600

1568

98.0%

0.10%

20,000

0.15%

1000

980

98.0%

0.79%

25,000

0.91%

7900

7703

97.5%

0.48%

25,000

0.57%

4800

4680

97.5%

0.24%

25,000

0.31%

2400

2340

97.5%

0.16%

25,000

0.22%

1600

1560

97.5%

0.10%

25,000

0.15%

1000

975

97.5%