Fig. 1

Contribution of groups defined by their age and vaccination status to infections, disease spread and hospital burden, in our baseline scenario with R₀=5 and a vaccine coverage of 70–80–90% among 12–17 years old, 18–59 years old, and over 60 years old. Age distribution of new infections (A) in the entire population and (B) among vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. Proportion of infections (C) attributable to different age groups and (D) attributable to different age groups among vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. Age distribution of hospitalizations (E) in the entire population and (F) among vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. In all panels, the diamonds indicate the age distribution of the different groups in the population