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Table 4 Hypothetical examples of predicted risk of long COVID 3 months after a PCR test, using our prediction model

From: Predictive model for long COVID in children 3 months after a SARS-CoV-2 PCR test

Characteristic

Examples

1

2

3

4

5

6

SARS-CoV-2 status

Positive

Negative

Positive

Negative

Positive

Negative

Sex

Female

Female

Male

Male

Female

Female

Age (years)

17

17

13

13

17

17

Ethnicity

White

White

White

White

White

White

Self-rated physical health

Okay

Okay

Okay

Okay

Good

Good

Self-rated mental health

Okay

Okay

Okay

Okay

Good

Good

Loneliness

Some of the time

Some of the time

Some of the time

Some of the time

Hardly ever

Hardly ever

Number of symptoms at time of testing

0

0

0

0

3

3

Problems looking after myself

No problems

No problems

No problems

No problems

No problems

No problems

Problems doing usual activities

No problems

No problems

No problems

No problems

No problems

No problems

Having pain

No problems

No problems

No problems

No problems

No problems

No problems

Feeling worried/sad

A bit worried

A bit worried

A bit worried

A bit worried

No problems

No problems

Predicted risk of long COVID

0.342

0.217

0.241

0.189

0.076

0.030

  1. For details on how the predicted risk was calculated, see the supplementary section for the formula (Box 1) and calculator