Table 2 Age-stratified avertable COVID-19 deaths^a (ACD) in Iran based on the per capita vaccine roll-out rates from model countries at different stages of the epidemic in Iran. This includes ACDs during the Alpha and Delta waves (from 19 February 2021, to 22 December 2021) and the Omicron BA.1 wave (from 5 January 2022, to 20 April 2022)

Argentina

2900 (2100, 3100)

300 (200, 300)

8800 (7800, 9700)

400 (300, 400)

Bahrain

11,600 (8500, 12,400)

500 (400, 500)

62,300 (47,000, 69,000)

900 (700, 1000)

Bangladesh

 − 12,200 (− 49,300, − 3500)

 − 7100 (− 28,900, − 2100)

 − 19,600 (− 71,300, − 5700)

 − 12,900 (− 36,500, − 5800)

Bolivia

 − 900 (− 7600, 300)

 − 7100 (− 28,600, − 2000)

9600 (7900, 11,500)

 − 9600 (− 28,900, − 4100)

Montenegro

0 (− 5700, 900)

 − 8700 (− 35,300, − 2500)

43,800 (33,500, 47,500)

 − 3100 (− 13,600, − 700)

Nepal

 − 6400 (− 26,000, − 1800)

 − 5400 (− 21,800, − 1600)

9200 (− 1800, 9400)

 − 1800 (− 7900, − 400)

Sri Lanka

2300 (1700, 2400)

0 (0, 100)

21,400 (16,900, 21,500)

400 (300, 400)

Turkey

4500 (3300, 4800)

 − 700 (− 2700, − 200)

45,900 (34,800, 51,200)

200 (200, 300)