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Fig. 2 | BMC Medicine

Fig. 2

From: Clinical prediction models and the multiverse of madness

Fig. 2

Prediction instability plot for a logistic regression model (with a lasso penalty) considering 8 predictors fitted in a the full sample of 40,830 participants (2851 deaths) and b a sub-sample of 500 participants (35 deaths). The solid diagonal line indicates perfect agreement between the predictions from the developed model and predictions in the bootstrap model. The vertical spread of points indicates the instability in the multiverse, reflecting differences in an individual’s prediction from the developed model (our universe) and their prediction in other hypothetical models (other universes). The dashed lines denote the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles of the distribution

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