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Table 3 Adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratios for developing atrial fibrillation by cancer treatment type among breast cancer surgery survivors

From: Mid- and long-term risk of atrial fibrillation among breast cancer surgery survivors

 

Treatment type

Subjects (N)

Case (n)

IR per 1000 PYs

Model 1 (Crude)

sHR (95% CI)

Model 2

sHR (95% CI)

Model 3

sHR (95% CI)

Model 4

sHR (95% CI)

Main analysis

Anthracyclines

No

54,523

591

2.14

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

58,709

575

1.89

0.88 (0.79–0.98)

1.39 (1.23–1.58)

1.39 (1.23–1.57)

1.57 (1.28–1.92)

Taxane

No

48,092

530

2.17

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

65,140

636

1.89

0.87 (0.77–0.97)

1.22 (1.08–1.37)

1.20 (1.06–1.35)

0.84 (0.69–1.02)

Trastuzumab

No

96,287

996

2.00

1(Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

16,945

170

2.04

1.03 (0.87–1.21)

1.15 (0.97–1.35)

1.11 (0.94–1.30)

0.96 (0.80–1.14)

Endocrine therapy

No

35,307

386

2.19

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Tamoxifen

49,574

294

1.12

0.51 (0.44–0.59)

0.79 (0.68–0.92)

0.78 (0.67–0.92)

0.81 (0.70–0.95)

AIs

27,046

471

3.46

1.58 (1.38–1.81)

1.01 (0.88–1.15)

1.00 (0.87–1.15)

1.00 (0.87–1.15)

Both

1305

15

2.23

1.02 (0.61–1.70)

0.70 (0.42–1.17)

0.66 (0.40–1.11)

0.68 (0.41–1.14)

Radiation therapy

No

34,156

433

2.52

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

79,076

733

1.79

0.71 (0.63–0.80)

1.01 (0.89–1.14)

1.02 (0.90–1.16)

0.98 (0.87–1.12)

3-year landmark analysis

Anthracyclines

No

52,036

390

2.32

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

55,117

387

2.04

0.88 (0.76–1.01)

1.41 (1.22–1.64)

1.40 (1.21–1.63)

1.48 (1.16–1.90)

Taxane

No

45,695

345

2.31

1 (Ref.)

1(Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

61,458

432

2.07

0.90 (0.78–1.03)

1.27 (1.10–1.48)

1.25 (1.08–1.45)

0.91 (0.72–1.16)

Trastuzumab

No

91,190

663

2.15

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

15,963

114

2.28

1.07 (0.88–1.30)

1.19 (0.98–1.46)

1.16 (0.95–1.41)

0.99 (0.80–1.23)

Endocrine therapy

No

32,452

252

2.34

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Tamoxifen

47,839

208

1.27

0.54 (0.45–0.65)

0.85 (0.70–1.03)

0.85 (0.70–1.02)

0.89 (0.74–1.08)

AIs

25,633

308

3.72

1.59 (1.35–1.88)

0.99 (0.84–1.18)

0.99 (0.83–1.17)

0.99 (0.83–1.17)

Both

1229

9

2.16

0.92 (0.47–1.79)

0.62 (0.32–1.21)

0.59 (0.30–1.14)

0.61 (0.31–1.18)

Radiation therapy

No

31,842

283

2.70

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

75,311

494

1.95

0.72 (0.62–0.84)

1.04 (0.89–1.21)

1.05 (0.90–1.22)

1.01 (0.87–1.18)

5-year landmark analysis

Anthracyclines

No

34,664

183

2.32

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

39,965

205

2.20

0.95 (0.78–1.16)

1.57 (1.27–1.94)

1.56 (1.26–1.93)

1.56 (1.10–2.21)

Taxane

No

31,154

160

2.28

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

43,475

228

2.24

0.98 (0.80–1.20)

1.43 (1.16–1.76)

1.40 (1.14–1.73)

1.02 (0.72–1.43)

Trastuzumab

No

64,089

332

2.22

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

10,540

56

2.45

1.11 (0.84–1.47)

1.24 (0.93–1.65)

1.20 (0.90–1.59)

1.01 (0.75–1.37)

Endocrine therapy

No

22,325

115

2.23

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Tamoxifen

34,191

116

1.46

0.65 (0.50–0.84)

1.04 (0.80–1.35)

1.04 (0.80–1.35)

1.13 (0.86–1.48)

AIs

17,253

152

3.89

1.74 (1.37–2.22)

1.07 (0.83–1.36)

1.06 (0.83–1.36)

1.08 (0.84–1.38)

Both

860

5

2.49

NA

NA

NA

NA

Radiation therapy

No

21,464

144

2.86

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

1 (Ref.)

Yes

53,165

244

2.00

0.70 (0.57–0.86)

1.02 (0.82–1.26)

1.03 (0.83–1.28)

0.98 (0.79–1.22)

  1. Model 2: adjusted for age, income status, and residential location
  2. Model 3: adjusted for Model 2 + hypertension, type 2 diabetes, dyslipidemia, coronary heart disease, congestive heart failure, chronic kidney disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
  3. Model 4: adjusted for Model 3 + use of anthracyclines, taxane, trastuzumab, endocrine therapy, and radiation therapy
  4. IR Incidence rate, PYs Person-years, sHR Sub-distribution hazard ratio, CI Confidence interval, AIs Aromatase inhibitors, NA Not applicable