Table 7 Sensitivity analysis—projected costs and outcomes per 1000 population over 20 years
Strategy | Cost | TB incidence | TB deaths | QALYs accrued |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Pharmacotherapy interventions’ effectiveness lasts 5 years | ||||
 Status quo—no new intervention | $816,588 | 18.88 | 1.83 | 14,963.00 |
 Increased taxation | $800,890 | 18.43 | 1.76 | 14,963.66 |
 Pharmacotherapy and counselling | $953,746 | 18.65 | 1.79 | 14,963.33 |
 Pharmacotherapy, counselling, and mass media campaign | $1,009,480 | 18.52 | 1.77 | 14,963.52 |
 Combination of all strategies | $977,469 | 17.61 | 1.62 | 14,964.90 |
Taxation (one time increase), pharmacotherapy, and mass media continued for 20 years | ||||
 Status quo—no new intervention | $816,588 | 18.88 | 1.83 | 14,963.00 |
 Increased Taxation | $800,890 | 18.43 | 1.76 | 14,963.66 |
 Pharmacotherapy and counselling | $2,732,610 | 18.48 | 1.77 | 14,963.48 |
 Pharmacotherapy, counselling, and mass media campaign | $3,444,542 | 18.27 | 1.73 | 14,963.73 |
 Combination of all strategies | $3,047,175 | 17.36 | 1.58 | 14,965.13 |
Scenario where 50% of smokers attempt quitting and use pharmacotherapy services | ||||
 Status quo—no new intervention | $816,588 | 18.88 | 1.83 | 14,963.00 |
 Increased taxation | $800,890 | 18.43 | 1.76 | 14,963.66 |
 Pharmacotherapy and counselling | $1,293,929 | 17.83 | 1.66 | 14,964.42 |
 Pharmacotherapy, counselling, and mass media campaign | $1,288,847 | 17.63 | 1.62 | 14,964.74 |
 Combination of all strategies | $1,226,645 | 15.87 | 1.33 | 14,967.53 |
Scenario where 75% of smokers attempt quitting and use pharmacotherapy services | ||||
 Status quo—no new intervention | $816,588 | 18.88 | 1.83 | 14,963.00 |
 Increased taxation | $800,890 | 18.43 | 1.76 | 14,963.66 |
 Pharmacotherapy and counselling | $1,521,195 | 16.97 | 1.52 | 14,965.59 |
 Pharmacotherapy, counselling, and mass media campaign | $1,512,916 | 16.68 | 1.47 | 14,966.07 |
 Combination of all strategies | $1,433,675 | 14.46 | 1.09 | 14,969.78 |