McLean AR, May RM, Pattison J, Weiss RA: SARS. A Case Study in Emerging Infections. 2005, Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press
Book
Google Scholar
Dye C, Gay N: Modeling the SARS epidemic. Science. 2003, 300: 1884-1885. 10.1126/science.1086925.
Article
CAS
PubMed
Google Scholar
Hufnagel L, Brockmann D, Geisel T: Forecast and control of epidemics in a globalized world. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2004, 101: 15124-15129. 10.1073/pnas.0308344101.
Article
CAS
PubMed
PubMed Central
Google Scholar
Baroyan OV, Genchikov LA, Rvachev LA, Shashkov VA: An attempt at large-scale influenza epidemic modeling by means of a computer. Bull Internat Epidemiol Assoc. 1969, 18: 22-31.
Google Scholar
Rvachev LA, Longini IM: A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza. Math Biosci. 1985, 75: 3-22. 10.1016/0025-5564(85)90064-1.
Article
Google Scholar
Colizza V, Barrat A, Barthélemy M, Vespignani A: The role of the airline transportation network in the prediction and predictability of global epidemics. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2006, 103: 2015-2020. 10.1073/pnas.0510525103.
Article
CAS
PubMed
PubMed Central
Google Scholar
Colizza V, Barrat A, Barthélemy M, Vespignani A: The modeling of global epidemics: stochastic dynamics and predictability. Bull Math Biol. 2006, 68: 1893-1921. 10.1007/s11538-006-9077-9.
Article
CAS
PubMed
Google Scholar
International Air Transport Association. [http://www.iata.org]
Riley S, Fraser C, Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Abu-Raddad LJ, Hedley AJ, Leung GM, Ho L-M, Lam T-H, Thach TQ, Chau P, Chan K-P, Lo S-V, Leung P-Y, Tsang T, Ho W, Lee K-H, Lau EMC, Ferguson NM, Anderson RM: Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions. Science. 2003, 300: 1961-1966. 10.1126/science.1086478.
Article
CAS
PubMed
Google Scholar
Lipsitch M, Cohen T, Cooper B, Robins JM, Ma S, James L, Gopalakrishna G, Chew SK, Tan CC, Samore MH, Fisman D, Murray M: Transmission dynamics and control of severe acute respiratory syndrome. Science. 2003, 300: 1966-1970. 10.1126/science.1086616.
Article
CAS
PubMed
PubMed Central
Google Scholar
Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Leung GM, Hedley AJ, Fraser C, Riley S, Abu-Raddad LJ, Ho L-M, Thach T-Q, Chau P, Chan K-P, Lam T-H, Tsang T, Liu S-H, Kong JHB, Lau EMC, Ferguson NM, Anderson RM: Epidemiological determinants of spread of causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong. Lancet. 2003, 361: 1761-1766. 10.1016/S0140-6736(03)13410-1.
Article
PubMed
Google Scholar
Colizza V, Barrat A, Barthélemy M, Valleron A-J, Vespignani A: Modeling the worldwide spread of pandemic influenza: baseline case and containment scenario. PLoS Med. 2007, 4 (1): e13-10.1371/journal.pmed.0040013.
Article
PubMed
PubMed Central
Google Scholar
Colizza V, Barrat A, Barthélemy M, Vespignani A: Epidemic predictability in meta-population models with heterogeneous couplings: the impact of disease parameter values. Int J Bif Chaos. 2007, 17: 2491-2500. 10.1142/S0218127407018567.
Article
Google Scholar
Bauch CT, Lloyd-Smith JO, Coffee MP, Galvani AP: Dynamically modeling SARS and other newly emerging respiratory illnesses – past, present, future. Epidemiol. 2005, 16: 791-801. 10.1097/01.ede.0000181633.80269.4c.
Article
Google Scholar
Lloyd-Smith JO, Galvani AP, Getz WM: Curtailing transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome within a community and its hospital. Proc R Soc Lond B. 2003, 270: 1979-1989. 10.1098/rspb.2003.2481.
Article
Google Scholar
Chowell G, Fenimore PW, Castillo-Garsow MA, Castillo-Chavez C: SARS outbreaks in Ontario, Hong Kong and Singapore: the role of diagnosis and isolation as a control mechanism. J Theor Biol. 2003, 224: 1-8. 10.1016/S0022-5193(03)00228-5.
Article
CAS
PubMed
Google Scholar
Chowell G, Castillo-Chavez C, Fenimore PW, Kribs-Zaleta CM, Arriola L, Hyman JM: Model parameters and outbreak control for SARS. Emerg Infect Dis. 2004, 10 (7): 1258-1263.
Article
PubMed
PubMed Central
Google Scholar
Ng TW, Turinici G, Danchin A: A double epidemic model for the SARS propagation. BMC Infect Dis. 2003, 3: 19-35. 10.1186/1471-2334-3-19.
Article
PubMed
PubMed Central
Google Scholar
Choi BC, Pak AW: A simple approximate mathematical model to predict the number of severe acute respiratory syndrome cases and deaths. J Epidemiol Community Health. 2003, 57: 831-835. 10.1136/jech.57.10.831.
Article
CAS
PubMed
PubMed Central
Google Scholar
Wang W, Ruan S: Simulating the SARS outbreak in Beijing with limited data. J Theor Biol. 2004, 227: 369-379. 10.1016/j.jtbi.2003.11.014.
Article
PubMed
Google Scholar
Zhou G, Yan G: Severe acute respiratory syndrome in Asia. Emerg Infect Dis. 2003, 9: 1608-1610.
PubMed
PubMed Central
Google Scholar
Meyers LA, Pourbohloul B, Newman MEJ, Skowronski DM, Brunham RC: Network theory and SARS: predicting outbreak diversity. J Theor Biol. 2005, 232: 71-81. 10.1016/j.jtbi.2004.07.026.
Article
PubMed
Google Scholar
Wallinga J, Teunis P: Different epidemic curves for severe acute respiratory syndrome reveal similar impacts of control measures. Am J Epidemiol. 2004, 160: 509-516. 10.1093/aje/kwh255.
Article
PubMed
Google Scholar
Gume AB, Ruan S, Troy D, Watmough J, Brauer F, van den Driessche P, Gabrielson D, Bowman C, Alexander ME, Ardal S, Wu J, Sahai BM: Modeling strategies for controlling SARS outbreak. Proc R Soc Lond B. 2004, 271: 2223-2232. 10.1098/rspb.2004.2800.
Article
Google Scholar
Hsieh YH, Chen CW, Hsu SB: SARS outbreak, Taiwan, 2003. Emerg Infect Dis. 2004, 10 (2): 201-206.
Article
PubMed
PubMed Central
Google Scholar
Nishiura H, Patanarapelert K, Sriprom M, Sarakorn W, Sriyab S, Ming Tang I: Modeling potential response to severe acute respiratory syndrome in Japan: the role of initial attack size, precaution, and quarantine. J Epidemiol Community Health. 2004, 58: 186-191. 10.1136/jech.2003.014894.
Article
CAS
PubMed
PubMed Central
Google Scholar
Cauchemez S, Boelle PY, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM, Thomas G, Leung GM, Hedley AJ, Anderson RM, Valleron A-J: Real-time estimates in early detection of SARS. Emerg Infect Dis. 2006, 12 (1): 110-113.
Article
PubMed
PubMed Central
Google Scholar
Ruan S, Wang W, Levin S: The effect of global travel on the spread of SARS. Math Biosci Engin. 2006, 3: 205-218.
Article
Google Scholar
Leung GM, Hedley AJ, Ho LM, Chau P, Wong IOL, Thach TQ, Ghani AC, Donnelly CA, Fraser C, Riley S, Ferguson NM, Anderson RM, Tsang T, Leung P-Y, Wong V, Chan JCK, Tsui E, Lo SV, Lam TH: The epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome in the 2003 Hong Kong epidemic: an analysis of all 1755 patients. Ann Intern Med. 2004, 141 (9): 662-673.
Article
PubMed
Google Scholar
World Health Organization. Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS): status of the outbreak and lessons for the immediate future. May 20, 2003. [http://www.who.int/csr/media/sars_wha.pdf]
Lee N, Hui D, Wu A, Chan P, Cameron P, Joynt GM, Ahuja A, Yung MY, Leung CB, To KF, Lui SF, Szeto CC, Chung S, Sung JJY: A major outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong. N Engl J Med. 2003, 348: 1986-1994. 10.1056/NEJMoa030685.
Article
PubMed
Google Scholar
Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of The People's Republic of China – Government Information Centre. Outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) at Amoy Gardens, Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong. Main findings of the investigation. [http://www.who.int/csr/media/sars_wha.pdf]
Galvani AP, May RM: Epidemiology – dimensions of superspreading. Nature. 2005, 438: 293-295. 10.1038/438293a.
Article
CAS
PubMed
Google Scholar
Lloyd-Smith JO, Schreiber SJ, Kopp PE, Getz WM: Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence. Nature. 2005, 438: 355-359. 10.1038/nature04153.
Article
CAS
PubMed
Google Scholar
World Health Organization. Cumulative number of reported cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). [http://www.who.int/csr/sars/country/en/index.html]
Meyers LA, Pourbholoul B, Newman MEJ, Skowronski DM, Brunham RC: Network theory and SARS: predicting outbreak diversity. J Theor Biol. 2005, 232: 71-81. 10.1016/j.jtbi.2004.07.026.
Article
PubMed
Google Scholar
World Health Organization. SARS: breaking the chains of transmission. July 5, 2003. [http://www.who.int/features/2003/07/en/]
World Health Organization SARS information. [http://www.who.int/csr/sars/en/]
Booth CM, Matukas LM, Tomlinson GA, Rachlis AR, Rose DB, Dwosh HA, Walmsley SL, Mazzulli T, Avendano M, Derkach P, Ephtimios IE, Kitai I, Mederski BD, Shadowitz SB, Gold WL, Hawryluck LA, Rea E, Chenkin JS, Cescon DW, Poutanen SM, Detsky AS: Clinical features and short-term outcomes of 144 patients with SARS in the greater Toronto area. JAMA. 2003, 289: 2801-2809. 10.1001/jama.289.21.JOC30885.
Article
CAS
PubMed
Google Scholar
Taiwan Headlines. Health Chief says 94 percent of SARS cases result from hospital infections. 20 May 2003. [http://www.taiwanheadlines.gov.tw/20030520/20030520s1.html]
Poutanen SM, Low DE, Henry B, Finkelstein S, Rose D, Green L, Tellier R, Draker R, Adachi D, Ayers M, Chan AK, Skowronski DM, Salit I, Simor AE, Slutsky AS, Doyle PW, Krajden M, Petric M, Brunham RC, McGeer AJ: Identification of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Canada. N Engl J Med. 2003, 348: 1995-2005. 10.1056/NEJMoa030634.
Article
PubMed
Google Scholar